September 2022 update: Be Ready for Opportunities!

Happy September!
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I frequently review sales data and since the market has started to shift, I have noticed a few properties that have sold for less than they would have in the spring, and for prices that many would call "a good deal." I am cautious about using the phrase "a good deal" as that is subjective - there are so many factors that come into play when analyzing a home's value and, always, the true value comes from the purchaser. What I have witnessed over the past 18 years I've been in business is that opportunities are almost always a timing issue, and often presented when the following happens:

  • A buyer is prepared financially: has the cash ready to go, or is fully pre-approved

  • A buyer understands the market and also understands that we never know where the bottom of the market is, until the market starts to rebound. So they are less concerned with timing the market and more concerned with investing where they want to be.

  • A buyer understands that unless one has an unlimited budget, perfection does not exist. Buyers rarely find a 10 out of 10, but if they get 7 out of 10, they are living in a dreamy place.

  • A buyer understands that most deals are a compromise between a seller and buyer. An example:

    • Originally when a seller retained an agent to sell their home, based upon sold data from the last 6 months they anticipated a $2.8M sale price on their house. A few months pass as they prepare their home and their agent has updated them on the market shift, so they now have adjusted their expectations to a lower sale price of $2.6M. They list their property at $2.195M to get more attention on the market but are still hoping for top dollar.

    • Then comes along a distraction in the market: a volatile few weeks in the stock market and consumer confidence is down, and you are the only buyer writing an offer. As a buyer you may have doubts, perhaps you start to think something is wrong with the house, instead of the reality that many buyers are nervous and waiting on the sidelines. Perhaps you want to write a lowball offer - I have seen this many times and in most cases those offers are rejected or countered. But if you are reasonable, perhaps you can get the house for $2.4M or $2.5M. I have heard many sellers state that they will not just "give" their house away, but are willing to compromise if a fair offer comes in.

    • Every single buyer and seller's financial and personal goals are different, but as a buyer it is important to keep in mind that many sellers have a personal attachment to their home. Perhaps they have invested a great deal of money and sweat equity into their property over the years. Perhaps it is the place they have raised a family or it was the place during covid that provided refuge during a time of uncertainty. The sellers have the commodity and they have the right to not sell. Just like a stock, if the price is just too low, perhaps they will decide to hold on. When writing an offer, weigh in on a few things: Does this home feel right? Can you afford it? Do you see yourself here for a long period of time? Are you thinking about the house when you are not there?

A great Realtor can work with you as a buyer to understand the difference between a good opportunity and a bad investment. When buying, look for properties that fit your needs for the long term; this sets you up for the highest likelihood of selling with the most appreciation.
As a buyer, do not let fear block you from those good opportunities, and definitely work with an agent who can give you objective insight so you can make the best decision for yourself.

After two busy weekends, 280 41st Street in Oakland received two offers that were just too low. They were not in line with my expectations, the seller's expectations, and they were low even for this new softened market. Two days later a 3rd offer came in that was viable, and with a little negotiation we are pending!       

NOTHING happens in real estate unless you can bring a buyer and seller together.

– Deidre

August 2022 update: And Just Like That

And just like that school is back in session for many and we are set to start the Fall selling season. Between June and July this year, the median price of homes in Oakland declined 11% in value while Berkeley saw no decline in value and prices remained flat, but the higher-end markets in both Oakland and Berkeley continue to perform well, selling within the same margins as homes did earlier in the spring.

I spoke with a top producing mortgage lender yesterday and she mentioned some of her clients who had taken a pause from their search have reached back out and have initiated an update of their pre-approval. I will be carefully tracking the market to see how things fair, but I predict that homes in great condition, with good light, layout, upgrades and aggressive listing prices will do well. Homes with challenges, especially challenges that one can not cure, may have a tough time.

Last week KTVU news called on me again to provide an update on our real estate market. The last two times I was on air with them I Zoomed comfortably from my own living room, but this time I went into the studio and interviewed with Sal Castaneda. While I was nervous, I really enjoyed the experience! Moreover, I am just thrilled to be a trusted expert in my field.

Thanks everyone for the continued trust and I am taking on new clients, so spread the word!

Check out the full interview and have a wonderful last few weeks of summer.

– Deidre

Favorite Things: No. 6

I am a huge design magazine buff – I even save articles in inspiration binders I've created – and I always look forward to lists of items that a notable person "can't live without" because I often find new (or new-to-me!) products and services.

About three years ago I started collecting items for my own lists: things I'm grateful for, trends in real estate, and not only widely-available products, but items, experiences, and resources only available here in the Bay Area.

What are some of your favorite things?

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2019 Year In Review

What a way to start 2020, I was just awarded company wide top producing agent! Here is a quick celebration …

 
 

And now, back to business…

As we start a new year and decade I can not help to feel blessed, I have just completed 15 years in business. When I started real estate, it felt very familiar as my mother was an Oakland/East Bay Realtor, however never in my wildest dreams did I envision a career that I have experienced thus far. Thank you for turning my dream of serving clients in a creative and ethical manner into my reality.

As I  gear up for the 2020 Spring selling season, I will share 2018 vs. 2019 data. Below you will see median prices in a few East Bay cities. Median price simply means the middle of where prices land. They do not tell the entire story as every home is different. For example, last week I had clients interested in a home in Oakmore Highlands. The sold data in the immediate area would indicate that the value of this home could be between $1.5 and $1.7 million, however the inspection reports revealed that the front porch was in need of replacement and the cost due to the architectural design was over $75,000. The point is someone could have paid a high price for the home being that there has been very limited quantity of inventory in this neighborhood and perhaps the layout, location and size was more valuable than the needed repairs, but due to our diverse inventory, my experience has proven that price per square foot is rarely the best method to determine a home's value. 

What are my optimistic predictions for this year?  Spring should be business as usual. I have chatted with several of my stagers and they are booking up quickly, this indicates we should have a new supply of inventory in the upcoming months. There are buyers out there that are eager to find quality properties. 

Here are two quick takeaways:

  • If you are considering a move and want to sell your home, now is a good time to chat. While Spring should be a healthy selling season, historically our real estate market becomes fickle during the summer. With graduations, vacations, etc.. the market is not always predictable. Also, the market tends to slow during national election seasons. Prices may still increase, but not at the same pace as other years.

  • Preparation and attention to details matter. Likely your direct competition will be doing extensive repairs and renovations. As buyers are becoming more discriminating I definitely noticed that they will pay less or pass over properties that they feel need too much work.

Here is a buyer tip:

  • It is highly likely that you will like a property that is popular. It always happens. I highly recommend getting pre-approved by a local lender who is known in our niché market. I have seen this help in multiple offer situations when all things are close or equal. Email me for a list of highly regarded local lenders.

 
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Favorite Things: No. 5

I've long been a collector of magazines - Dwell, Elle Decor, Vogue, and Sunset to name a few. I look to them for ideas and inspiration... when I read something like Elle Decor's "12 Things Can't Live Without", it turns me on to new things and places.  And it makes me feel like I've gotten to know the designer or celebrity through their 12 things.

So, I do the same thing twice a year. I share things that make me happy, and showcase local tidbits - it allows you to get to know me better.  Here is my winter 2019 edition... What are some of your favorite things?

Happy Holidays!

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Signs of a slowing market

Here are the latest listing inventory stats (per Red Oak Realty):

  • Active inventory is declining, but at an uneven and slow pace. We have been at a 6-year record high for the past 8 weeks.

  • A wave of new listings hit the market last week, particularly in the $750K-$1M price range, keeping seller competition stiff.

  • The number of pending properties has declined for the past two weeks, reflecting in lower buyer demand.

Additionally, average days on market for active inventory is at a 6-year year high: this week it is 37 days (it was at a record low the same time last year at 32 days). 

If these trends continue, sellers are going to have a harder time getting properties into contract and may need to take price reductions.

Buyers may want to consider getting aggressive on their offers for those not-so-perfect homes. There may be a "bargain" waiting to be discovered.

Data from the MLS for the following cities: Albany, Berkeley, El Cerrito, Kensington, Oakland and Piedmont. These charts are for Red Oak Realty and clients.

Data from the MLS for the following cities: Albany, Berkeley, El Cerrito, Kensington, Oakland and Piedmont. These charts are for Red Oak Realty and clients.


What Buyers Need to Know When Viewing Open Houses

If you are shopping for a house you may feel like you are overwhelmed with questions or uncertainty and have anxiety over the unknown. It is helpful to work with an experienced buyer's agent. If you attend open houses without your agent, here are a few tips to keep in mind:

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  • Any agent hosting an open house, whether they are the listing agent or not, should be helpful and honest with you; however, their fiduciary duty is to get the highest and best for the seller. Don't ask a listing agent what they think the house will sell for. Frankly, they likely do not know and they do not want to scare away any buyer by saying, "I hope we make a record-breaking sale for the neighborhood and it goes hundreds of thousands over the asking price".
  • If you do talk with the open house host, other potential buyers are listening and are "sizing up" their competition. It is like poker, do not show your hand. One time I had a buyer tell a listing agent what their budget was and asked the listing agent if they thought they could win the property in competition. Don't do this! You just showed your hand.
  • If you ask the hosting agent question after question, you may be conveying the wrong message. Yes, buyers deserve answers to their questions, but let your agent do the research and ask on your behalf. You could be inadvertently sending vibes to the hosting agent that you are uncertain about the house, have grave concerns about the property condition or that you may not be a deal closer.  For example, I had a buyer client ask a listing agent about plumbing and water pressure. My client noted that she loved her showers in the morning. My clients called me that night to tell me that they found an old farmhouse that they loved. I immediately called the listing agent to ask for the disclosures/reports on the property. The listing agent immediately remembered my clients and said, "I do not think this is the right house for your clients." I asked, how so? The agent replied that it was a 100-year old home with old pipes and she could not guarantee that the water pressure would be sufficient. Pipes can get replaced and no home is perfect. I was able to discuss at length the property condition with my buyers and inform them about what is typical when reading the disclosures. Buyers may not be aware that certain comments to the listing/hosting agent will convey details that could be possible deal-killers.
  • Many Realtors host open houses actively and legitimately to seek out buyers. They may ask guests to "sign in".  You don't want to do this if you are already working with an agent. This is a way the host can contact you and solicit your business. Kindly tell them you are working with an agent and give your agent's name. You can always say "I will take your card and ask my Realtor to contact you if we are interested". Some may think there is an advantage to working with the listing agent as their buying agent. But ask yourself, if a conflict arises, would you be comfortable with the same agent representing both sides?
  • Don't ask the listing/hosting agent for a showing. Call your agent to set up a private showing. Likewise, when perusing homes online, don't request a showing via online real estate websites. Realtors pay to be sponsor-agents on various websites. If they show you a property that you later purchase with your agent, they can claim they are entitled to the commission; this is called procuring cause.
  • While viewing open homes, social courtesies apply. I have seen open house visitors act in way that appears defensive or even hostile. You don't need to engage in long conversations with the host or disclose a lot of information about yourself. Listing agents do remember the visitors and will convey to their seller what their impression is of the buyer.

Bottom line, choose your buyer's agent early in your house hunting process. If you are working with a stellar agent they will do research, talk with you about comparable sold data and pricing, review and discuss property condition, and provide you with answers to your questions. They should be putting your needs above all else and be transparent. Bring all of your questions, concerns and fears to them with full confidence in their advice.